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Grammy Crisis: Is Jay Z Eligible This Year? (No)

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Here’s an interesting problem:

Jay Z’s “The Blueprint, Pt. 3″ is the hot album of the fall. The duet with Alicia Keys, “Empire State of Mind,” is the single of the season. Neither of them is eligible for the Grammy Awards.

Let’s backtrack: this year’s Grammy deadline was August 31st, a month early. The Jay Z album was not released until September 8th.

But we knew going in that the early Grammy deadline was crazy. Whitney Houston just made it under the wire. But Mariah Carey missed it, leaving her in the mix just for her “Obsessed” single.

At this rate, whatever gets nominated for Best Album, Record, and Song is a toss up, and not a popular one.

The odds on favorite would be The Black Eyed Peas album, “The E.N.D.” The single, “I Gotta Feeling,” is the odds on favorite for Best Record and Song.

There are scant others. Lady GaGa is headed into the Amy Winehouse section as novelty hit of the year. You can’t begrudge her anything, but she has the feel of a one-hit wonder.

There’s a lot of support for rock band Kings of Leon, too. But they may wind up in the rock categories.

Other possibilities: Kanye West’s “808s and Heartbreak,” U2’s “No Line on the Horizon,” Bruce Springsteen’s “Working on a Dream,” Rob Thomas’s excellent “CradleSong” (with the song “Someday”), and, of course, Whitney Houston’s “I Look to You.” Houston is likely to score well in the Grammys simply because it’s a slow year.

But the absence of Jay Z and Alicia? Immeasurable impact. Especially since the bogus American Music Awards ‘ in which everything is eligible including Michael Jackson’s greatest hits ‘ lets anything go as long as there are ratings and sponsors.

Meantime, I do hope the Grammy committees are aware that Stevie Wonder had a great single out in January, called “All About the Love Again.” It was included on the inauguration soundtrack. What a shame if it’s overlooked.

The Grammys have historically always been screwy anyway. Michael Jackson’s “Off the Wall” and Billy Joel’s “The Stranger” were never even nominated. How do you like that? The Beatles always got short shrift too. For example: In 1969-70, “Abbey Road” ‘ now considered one of the great classics of all time ‘ was beaten by Blood Sweat, and Tears’ self titled album. Other nominees were the Fifth Dimension, Johnny Cash, and Crosby, Stills & Nash’s debut LP. Even worse: in 1963, Ray Charles, Tony Bennett, and Stan Getz all lost to Vaughn Meader’s comedy album, “The First Family.”

Billy Crystal Should Host the Oscars

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58104857Now we know that Hugh Jackman isn’t going to repeat his hosting duties from last year.

Neil Patrick Harris, good as he was, has been overused by the Tonys and the Emmys.

Ricky Gervais is going to the Golden Globes, which will only be funny if he asks who all those people are in the Hollywood Foreign Press Association.

So who’s going to run the Academy Awards? Please, no multiple host set up, producers. The idea of Ellen DeGeneres, Steve Martin, etc weaving in and out ‘ it’s not palatable. Chris Rock? Not again. David Letterman? Don’t think so. Conan? Jay, Jon Stewart, Jimmy Fallon? All good, but not Hollywood really. At that point you might as well get Jimmy Kimmel and Sarah Silverman.

In truth, there’s only one man for the job: Billy Crystal.

This time around, the host will have 10 Best Picture nominees to deal with, plus Michael Jackson’s “This Is It” and who knows what else.

Indeed, only Billy Crystal can really pull this off. At least the Academy will be assured of a funny show, hilarious film parodies, and a knowing nod to the industry.

The question is: will he do it? Crystal is the most popular of all Oscar hosts. After Hugh Jackman’s stint last spring, I was told Crystal could be cajoled back. When I wrote that on February 25th in my old column, the international press went wild.

Crystal would certainly be a ratings hit. And you can already kind of see him dressed as Guido from “Nine,” or bringing Nelson Mandela his prison dinner in “Invictus,” or fighting back against the mother in “Precious.”

Sttrangely, one Oscar blog (always wrong about nominees and winners, but they don’t seem to care) is running a poll of possible candidates but excludes Crystal completely. They’ve got Tina Fey as their top vote getter. Fey is a great writer, but Oscar host? The only other real contender besides Crystal, I would think, would be Steve Carell. But he’s the flipside of Gervais, and the Oscars may not want to go in that direction.

Billy hosted the Oscars in 1990’1993, 1997, 1998, 2000, and 2004. Each time out was a success. My prediction: he’ll be back. But I do hope producers Bill Mechanic and Adam Shenkman keep the innovation from last year of having past winners introduce the main nominees. It was a nice tie to the past.

Sting Gets the Picture; Stones Get Out Their Ya Ya’s

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Last week, around the time Sting told the AP’s Nekesa Moody how much he loved Barack Obama, he also did something unusual: launched a book of photos by pal Bobby Sager, the Boston mover and shaker who inspired NBC’s summer series, “The Philanthropist.” He even played a couple of songs for guests at a party thrown at Donna Karan’s Urban Zen studio on Greenwich Street.

Sager’s pics of children in Africa were used by Sting for the live video presentation during “Invisible Sun” on the Police reunion tour. It only makes sense that Sager would publish the photos now as “The Power of the Invisible Sun.” The book — in two different gift versions– is on sale at amazon.com and www.poweroftheinvisiblesun.com.

Proceeds from the sale go to a new charity called Hope Is A Game Changer Project. When you buy a book, an indestructible yellow soccer ball is automatically sent to a kid in Africa. The idea for the balls came from a picture Sager took in the Congo of a makeshift ball’ composed of garbage bags and string. The idea, of course, is to replace guns with soccer balls. It’s simple, and fairly inexpensive. And brilliant.

As for Sting, I loved what he said about Obama: “In many ways, he’s sent from God,” Sting joked, “because the world’s a mess.” He added: “I can’t think of anyone better qualified because of his background, his education, particularly in regard to Islam.”

Right on: now where are all the other Obama supporters speaking out? Now is the time. It’s only patriotic to support the president of the United States…

…Meantime: The box set of the Rolling Stones‘ “Get Yer Ya Ya’s Out” has been released, and it’s a winner. The 40th anniversary edition includes unreleased Stones tracks from the famous 1969 concert, as well as the Maysles brothers’ breathtaking 28 minute film, unreleased music from B.B. King and Ike and Tina Turner, and the best version of “Satisfaction” ever recorded…Plus you get souvenir guitar pick…

“This Is It” Revised Box Office: U.S. $34.5 Million

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this is it v 250x300 This Is It Revised Box Office: U.S. $34.5 MillionMichael Jackson’s “This Is It” did better than anyone knew.

When Sony releases weekend box office figures today, sources say the Kenny Ortega directed concert film/doc will have done $34.5 million for the period of Tuesday night through Sunday.

That makes the total worldwide boxoffice closer to $105 million. “This Is It” is the most successful concert film ever.

So much for all the negative spin over the weekend. Indeed, the amount of it was truly puzzling. Most regular feature films would be considered “monster hits” if they’d done this well in five days.

Poor Michael Jackson. This was all he ever wanted.

On Sunday, I’m told, the movie was screened for Academy voters. They loved it, apparently, giving “This Is It” a standing ovation. But I wouldn’t get too excited. The film missed the documentary deadline for the Oscars. And it’s unlikely it will get a Best Picture nomination, despite the fervor of the Oscar blogs. A Golden Globe nomination for Comedy/Musical is more likely. And maybe a Best Song nomination for Jackson’s Paul Anka title track.

“This Is It” Extended Through Thanksgiving

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Just as this column predictedMichael Jackson’s “This Is It’s” two-week run has been extended through Thanksgiving. I told you back on October 23 that it could get a one or two-week extension.

So far, worldwide, Sony puts the boxoffice take at $101 million. The non-U.S. take is $68.5 million. The domestic take is $32. 5 million. As I reported last night, “This Is It” has knocked off every competitor in the documentary and concert categories for all-time boxoffice.

The hilarious part reading elsewhere is that it’s either a hit or a flop or both. Some people can’t make up their minds. It’s easy to see by these numbers that “This Is It” is a hit. Sony and AEG Live got this exactly right.

Now, of course, the next step is for AEG to open the show in Las Vegas, with Kenny Ortega and the cast. There’s been some talk of a Cirque du Soleil rendering. But I think this is a mistake. Fans will want to see the live version of the movie. And Cirque du Soleil is way over saturated right now. Plus, they have’ the Beatles’ “Love” show. I think if Paul McCartney catches wind of it, he’ll convince the Cirque folks to stay away from Michael Jackson. There’s still a lot of soreness on that subject. Whether Michael is dead or alive, the Beatles songs are not owned by McCartney because of him.

Michael Jackson Film Beats Al Gore, Madonna, Michael Moore

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Saturday night: Michael Jackson’s “This Is It” –’ is it a hit or a flop?

Let’s put it this way. As a documentary, it’s on track to be the third-largest-grossing doc in history. It will finish this weekend in the $30 million-plus category. That puts it behind Michael Moore’s “Fahrenheit 911″ and “Earth.” At No. 3, it will be ahead of Moore’s other films, as well as Al Gore’s “An Inconvenient Truth” and Madonna’s “Truth or Dare.”

Forget about highest-grossing weekends, or Wednesdays in October. In the end, only the total number will matter.

As a music concert film, “This Is It” slides into second place, all time, right behind “Hannah Montana/Miley Cyrus: Best of Both Worlds Concert Tour.” No. 3 would be a film about the Jonas Brothers, which made just less than $20 million total.

I’d say “This Is It” is a hit, based on those numbers. It could finish this weekend with between $30 million and $32 million domestically. Internationally, the number could turn out to be equal.

I will say that one of Sony’s biggest mistakes was not showing the film to the press in advance. The only word-of-mouth they built was on supposition. Instead of trusting that they had something good, the studio acted out of fear. The result was that this reviewer, like so many, had to write the review while watching the film. The reviews came out as the film arrived, without any quotes or anything to prime the part of the public that was skeptical or didn’t care.

Meantime, Sony Music predicts that the “This Is It” CD sold around 300,000 copies in its first week. The numbers come in on Monday. Not bad considering it only has two new tracks on it and consists otherwise of greatest hits that have already been sold and resold twice in the last four months.

The “This Is It” DVD will hit stores Jan. 20, just in case anyone’s interested in the actual date instead of guessing.

Springsteen Saves Six-Hour Superstar Rock Show

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58775137Is Bruce Springsteen a man or a machine? Is he Superman? These are the questions that ran through my mind last night as Springsteen and his E Street Band literally picked up the six-hour Rock and Roll Hall of Fame anniversary show at Madison Square Garden and breathed life into it.

The show, which started at 7:30, lived on a weird mix of sedation, old fights, and punctuations of soul for its first four hours. It was divided into sections after Jerry Lee Lewis emerged to play’ “Whole Lotta Shakin’ Goin’ On.” Crosby, Stills & Nash commanded a deadly hour with Bonnie Raitt ‘ the only featured female of the night, plus James Taylor and Jackson Browne. It wasn’t the artists’ fault but it was too much of the same thing, and ‘ coupled with the 98% all white audience ‘ they lent a creepy start to the history of rock and roll. I kept expecting Pat Boone to come out and join them in an acapella “Tutti Frutti.”

Instead, it was time for “Family Feud” with Simon & Garfunkel. After Paul Simon (who is really a devastatingly good songwriter, if not the best) delivered a couple of his solo hits, he brought out Little Anthony and the Imperials. They were the first black artists on stage after two hours. For some reason, Anthony chose “Two Kinds of People,” a little obscure, instead of “Hurts So Bad.” Still, the audience loved them as much as they adored Dion DiMucci on “The Wanderer.” Simon’s guests actually related to the roots of rock and roll, and were authentic.

Adding Art Garfunkel was good for gossip and harmony ‘ the vocal kind only. How these two make such beautiful music and are so awful to each other is beyond me. “The Sound of Silence” was exquisite. “Mrs. Robinson” was playfully woven into Buddy Holly’s “Not Fade Away.” “The Boxer” was sublime and moving. But then came “Bridge Over Troubled Water.” Garfunkel sang the first verse. But Simon cut him off, it seemed, to croak the second verse. This was a mistake. Garfunkel looked pissed, and Simon sounded like Burt Bacharach on a bad day. When Garfunkel took over to begin, “Sail on Silver Girl,” Simon just huffed away. He should have just let Garfunkel sing the song. Anyway, Garfunkel brought it to an emotional and satisfying close.

But then there was a lot of promise: The masterful Stevie Wonder, a welcoming warm presence, appeared on stage and was going to take over. It wasn’t so easy. The sound was a mess. Part of his sound was missing, which meant Stevie’s voice and harmonica could be heard, but much of his set sounded like it was coming through one channel. You can’t stop Stevie Wonder, though, so he plowed through his hits with aplomb, then brought out Smokey Robinson for a gorgeous version of “Tracks of My Tears.” (If only this event had been written and produced ‘ Smokey is one of the great emcees.) B.B. King joined Stevie for “The Thrill Is Gone.” And then a bearded movie star-ish and much needed Sting emerged, bass guitar in hand, to mash up his “Roxanne” with Stevie’s “Higher Ground.” It worked. There’s no audience that doesn’t like singing along to “Roxanne.” Stevie also did a tribute to Michael Jackson with “The Way You Make Me Feel.”

The one really off moment: John Legend, thrown into this section ‘ what a friend of mine called “The Black Section” ”(is it 1963? Was this an episode of “Mad Men” What happened to desegregation?) ‘ did a misguided version of Marvin Gaye’s “Mercy Mercy Me.” Legend had just come over from singing the national anthem at Yankee Stadium. Perhaps it was too much in one night.

Only one man could save this by now four hour marathon of ego and microphone mishaps: a passionate, sweating, loving rock and roll Bruce Springsteen. A couple of days after a band tragedy, Bruce and the gang just rolled up and slammed. After a crowd-pleasing “Tenth Avenue Freeze Out,” Bruce whipped out the night’s two show stoppers. First up; legendary Sam Moore of Sam & Dave fame. Sam, 74, represented Stax and Atlantic Records at this shindig like a shining star. With Bruce 100% invested in the moment, Moore brought his hits “Hold On, I’m Coming” and “Soul Man” to a fever pitch. Wait for when this show airs on HBO next month. Dustin Hoffman was seen dancing in the aisles, People were crying. Moore’s voice is richer than ever. It’s true the E Street Band can make anyone sound good, but this was over the top. Genuine R&B. The Rock and Roll Hall of Fame show finally came alive.

Springsteen didn’t stop there. He offered more guests. The magnificent guitarist Tom Morello of Rage Against the Machine, transcended the genre on Springsteen’s “Ghost of Tom Joad.” John Fogerty, wearing the same plaid shirt he’s had on since “Centerfield” in the 90s, brought the bayou to New York with “Fortunate Son” and “Proud Mary.” The two guys’ took, as Bruce called it, “A ballpark swing” at recreating Roy Orbison’s “Pretty Woman” and pulled it off brilliantly. Now Bruce had the Garden rocking. Darlene Love, the second singing female of the night,’ a surprise guest, invoked the Phil Spector Wall of Sound.

What was left? Well, there was no Beatles, Stones, or Zeppelin. Or even Elton John. Or Who or Kinks or Beach Boys or Supremes. You wished for some female presence:’ Debbie Harry, Tina Turner, Etta James, Linda Ronstadt, Carly Simon, Carole King, Loretta Lynn, Joan Baez, Judy Collins, Grace Slick. Where is Chrissie Hynde when you really need her?

But then Springsteen announced his special guest, Billy Joel, with news that this would be the “Bridge and Tunnel Summit Meeting” ‘ meaning my Long Island, their New Jersey ‘ “right here on neutral ground in New York City” ‘ and so it was. They did Joel’s “You May Be Right,” “Only the Good Die Young.” and “New York State of Mind.” Somewhere in there Bruce added one of his own songs, and then they ended the set with “Born to Run.” Not to be outdone though: the entire gang staged an old school-style jam on Jackie Wilson’s “(Your Love Keeps Lifting Me) Higher and Higher” with Moore and Love trading vocals, while the stage was lined from left to right with Patti Scialfa, Fogerty, Steve van Zandt, Jackson Browne, Peter Wolf (of J Geils fame), Nils Lofgren and the whole E Street ensemble.

That’s,” Springsteen yelled, waiting a beat, “rock and roll!” It sure is.

What was the concert for? Where will the money go? How much did it cost? What did Yoko Ono think? Why was there no mention all night of the Museum in Cleveland? Of Ahmet Ertegun? All mysteries. Why was Springsteen the only artist to actually speak all night, and talk about what the music meant to him and why he was there? What happened to Little Richard and Van Morrison? I’m afraid some of these answers will be delivered by Amelia Earhart in the after life.

The main thing is, warts and all, it was kind of a glorious night for rock. Someone produced pretty good interstitials that included bits and pieces of the many missing or dead artists in the history of rock. (This was all completely absent the Beatles, who knows why.) HBO should just put the whole thing on in two three hour chunks, no editing, just the way we saw it. Graham Nash said it was like Woodstock. Not really. But it was kind of a great mess, the way rock should be. And whatever or whoever was missed, well, they’ll catch up to it eventually.

Tonight ‘ Friday ”Jeff Beck replaces Eric Clapton. Metallica, U2, and a little set from Aretha Franklin with special guest Annie Lennox rounds out this colossus. Since the tickets require a mortgage, I will pass on all of that and hope it goes well.

In the audience last night besides Dustin, his family, and Yoko: Clive Davis, Ron Perelman, Michael Douglas and Catherine Zeta Jones, Martin Short, Tom Hanks and Rita Wilson, “Sopranos” creator David Chase, Shania Twain, Paul Shaffer, Michael J. Fox and Tracy Pollan, Patty Smythe and John McEnroe, Kenneth Cole. There was also a gift lounge, ‘natch, where lots of non-musical types and beautiful young people from “Gossip Girl” etcetera came in and gorged on stuff they didn’t need.

P.S. Really, about Paul Simon, from “You Can Call Me Al” ‘ I would trade this verse for just about anything written in the last nine years:

A man walks down the street,
It’s a street in a strange world.
Maybe it’s the Third World.
Maybe it’s his first time around.
He doesn’t speak the language,
He holds no currency.
He is a foreign man,
He is surrounded by the sound, sound ….
Cattle in the marketplace.
Scatterlings and orphanages.
He looks around, around …..
He sees angels in the architecture,
Spinning in infinity,
He says, Amen! and Hallelujah!

Mick Jagger Subs for Clapton; Jerry Wexler, the Man Behind Aretha, Dusty, Pickett

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Friday night: Rock and Roll Hall of Fame show at Madison Square Garden ended at 11:30 p.m., two hours earlier than it did the previous night. Mick Jagger substituted for Eric Clapton’s missing star power. Annie Lennox and Lenny Kravitz joined Aretha Franklin onstage. Other acts included U2 and Metallica, Patti Smith, Lou Reed and Ray Davies of the Kinks. Bruce Springsteen showed up again to play with Ozzy Osbourne.

Mick sang with Bono. Tom Hanks made a speech. David Geffenwho’s getting inducted into the Rock Hall next spring whether people like it or not because Jann Wenner says so — made an appearance. Wenner’s making everyone sign some kind of commemorative book. “It’s very important to him,” says a source. Whatever. Celebs: Harvey Weinstein, Lorraine Bracco, Robbie Robertson, Michael J. Fox again, Vivi Nevo, Jimmy Buffett’s wife, Daniel Craig, who came over after “A Steady Rain” finished. Most of the celebs were packed into Jann Wenner’s private box, along with his wife, Jane Wenner, and his lover, Matt Nye…It’s a modern world: Wenner has three kids with each of them…(Now that’s a reality series!)…

On Thursday night, Blondie played a set in Brooklyn for the rock photo exhibit at the Brooklyn Museum. Hey — isn’t this what the Rock Hall is supposed to be about?…

…Earlier on Thursday at the Directors Guild Theatre, the real folks in rock came out to say goodbye to the beloved record producer Jerry Wexler. Produced by Wexler’s grown kids Lisa and Paul, musical direction by Jon Tiven, with shattering performances by Vaneese Thomas, William Bell and Bettye Lavette, among others. Bernard Purdie, the famed Atlantic drummer, was part of the band, along with Spooner Oldham on piano. Bonnie Raitt – the soul of the commercial music world — sang backup! Peter Wolf applauded. May Pang was among the guests. Joyce Moore gave a beautiful speech about Jerry working with Sam & Dave. Clive Davis was in the front row, Seymour Stein in the second, Paul Shaffer in the third. This was so much classier and heartfelt than the behemoth going on down on Seventh Avenue.

Wexler, for the record, coined the term “Rhythm and Blues.” He was the music man in businessman Ahmet Ertegun’s Atlantic Records structure. But Ahmet, married to elegant Mica (who was there), straddled Society, so he got the ink. Wexler, Tom Dowd, Arif Mardin made the records. Here’s the short version: Having corralled Aretha and Wilson Pickett and Sam (Moore) & Dave, Wexler went down to Stax Records in Memphis. He made a bunch of records there with his Atlantic artists, worked on the Stax stuff, too, (Rufus and Carla Thomas, William Bell, etc.) but then Stax felt he was carpetbagging and kicked him out. So he moved south to Muscle Shoals Studios in Alabama, and had even more hits. Now all of it is part of the canon of rock history…

Anyway, Aretha was a no-show and missed, but Ronee Blakely and Lenny Kaye carried off a dazzling duet on Dusty Springfield’s “I Can’t Make It Alone,” written by Carole King and Gerry Goffin from the quintessential Wexler-Dowd-Mardin Atlantic masterpiece “Dusty in Memphis.” While these guys all worked with Aretha on her many classics, somehow “Dusty in Memphis” remains their legacy.

As usual: Kudos to Springsteen and Raitt. This comes from the great rock cynic (me): They are just great. They are grateful, respectful, well-mannered, incredibly talented, incredibly pleasant. Bruce actually called Sam Moore yesterday and thanked him for their set on Thursday night. This is above and beyond. As for Bonnie, she pitches in, shows up, she’s the real thing. I will never forget being backstage at Radio City Music Hall on the night Martin Scorsese shot his huge blues concert. B.B. King summoned Bonnie over to where he was sitting, then said to her: “You’re the best slide guitarist I’ve ever seen.” Everyone started crying. Anyway, let’s not ever forget to praise the reallygood guys…

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2WYcAwjLiE8

Oscar Update: Scratch “Amelia,” Add “The Road”; Next?

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What if there were ten slots open for Best Picture and not enough entries to fill them? It’s a distinct possibilty.

From the poor reviews to the low boxoffice, it does seem, sadly, that Mira Nair’s “Amelia” is a scratch from Oscar consideration. With the movie may also go Hilary Swank’s chances at a third statue. I love Mira Nair’s movies. This is a disappointment. But she ‘ and Swank ‘ will be back.

At the same time, early word on “The Lovely Bones” from Peter Jackson is that it doesn’t quite work as a thriller. A possible Best Picture player, “Bones” may have an audience thanks to its large built-in following. But awards may be more elusive.

So far the only movies everyone can agree on as Best Picture candidates are Jason Reitman’s “Up in the Air” and Lee Daniels’s “Precious.” Beyond that, it’s all in the realm of subjectivity.

And now there’s a new player since the London Film Festival made a special citation for John Hillcoat’s “The Road“’ for its “breathtaking vision, extraordinary performances and profound political statement.” “The Road” is the sleeper film of 2009, with an Oscar level performance, as usual, from Viggo Mortensen.

Here are some actual possibilities: “An Education,” with Carey Mulligan (lead) and Peter Sarsgaard (supporting); Tom Ford’s breathtaking “A Single Man” with Colin Firth (lead) and Julianne Moore (supporting); “A Serious Man” from the Coen brothers; Helen Mirren (lead) in “The Last Station“; Christoph Waltz (supporting) and “Inglourious Basterds“; and maybe, quite possibly, “Where the Wild Things Are.”

Still to be seen, but highly anticipated: Clint Eastwood’s “Invictus” with Morgan Freeman as Nelson Mandela; and Rob Marshall’s “Nine,” with Daniel Day-Lewis and a bevy of beauties including Penelope Cruz and Marion Cotillard.

There are some Oscar certainties, like the annual Woody Allen Best Supporting Actress. This year it’s Patricia Clarkson as the zany Southern mother in “Whatever Works.” Clarkson, long overdue, is a show stopper. Meryl Streep and Stanley Tucci are still glowing from “Julie & Julia.”

And then there are the guys from Kathryn Bigelow’s “The Hurt Locker,” another Best Picture possibility. Anthony Mackie and Jeremy Renner are excellent. And Fred Melamed has to be nominated for “A Serious Man.” There’s no question about it. And if Mo’Nique will come to the Oscars if she just wises up a bit and drops her demands for moolah.

In the mix:

“Up in the Air”

“The Road”

“An Education”

“Where the Wild Things Are”

“Nine”

“A Single Man”

“The Last Station”

“A Serious Man”

“Inglourious Basterds”

“Invictus”

“The Hurt Locker”

“The Lovely Bones”

The Young Victoria

“Sherlock Holmes”

“It’s Complicated”

‘This Is It’: $20 Mil Opening for a Documentary Couldn’t Be Better

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111691 this is it guitarist 341 This Is It: $20 Mil Opening for a Documentary Couldnt Be BetterIt’s all how you spin it, right?

Michael Jackson’s “This Is It” made $20 million worldwide opening on a Wednesday in October on the first night of the World Series. This is considered a tremendous success, not a disappointment. How it got labeled the latter is beyond me.

If “This Is It” makes $70 million domestically through Sunday night, believe me, Sony and AEG and Michael Jackson’s estate will be very happy. There’s no reason to think it won’t. The film has an across-the-board Cinemascope rating of A. Most of the reviews, except for one crazy one, are positive. THR’s Kirk Honeycutt lavished praise on it, and he’s tough, kids. If he likes it, you know it’s good.

A few days ago, one movie blog decided that “This Is It” should make $250 million in its first weekend. This is the usual craziness of bad or no reporting. If the movie makes just that domestically, and another $150 million abroad before its scheduled Jan. 20 DVD release, all parties will celebrate.

By the way, all the worldwide numbers aren’t in. The film opened in 10 more countries today. On Friday, record producer L.A. Reid is hosting a private A-list screening. There will be more of those.

As for the naysayers who claim that it doesn’t tell the whole Jackson story, this is what I say: You’re right. This is a behind-the-scenes look at performance. The rest of it — and there’s plenty — will be explored in detail later.