Tuesday, January 7, 2025

Will the Oscars Rubber Stamp the Globes? Two Hurdles Next: Critics Choice, SAG Awards

The Golden Globes are over.

Next up for awards season: the Critics Choice Awards next Sunday on the E! channel. Then the SAG Awards.

Will the Oscars rubber stamp the Globes winners? No. The Motion Picture Academy is more likely to zig where the Globes have zagged. A lot will happen between now and March 2nd.

Academy voters are more likely to look at next Sunday’s results — actual critics voting for films. Then comes the Screen Actors Guild, which makes up a huge chunk of the Academy. Those two awards will be more predictive.

What is true that winners like Demi Moore and Fernanda Torres, Sebastian Stan and Adrien Brody have pretty much clinched Oscar noms. Brody was already there, but this helps. Will Timothee Chalamet make a comeback? He very well could.

The best actress race is a lot of more funky now. Moore gave a great speech. Her movie, “The Substance,” is not great but she’s been in the game for 45 years and has a lot of good will. She’s been very kind to ailing ex husband, Bruce Willis. That counts for a lot. Torres is still unknown to much of the Academy. Who else could win Best Actress? Nicole Kidman? (I wish.) Angelina Jolie? (Not happening.) Karla Sofia Gascon? (Never say never.)

And then there’s “The Brutalist.” In limited release, this three and a half hour movie has done middling business. It’s extremely flawed and incredibly ambitious. The second part, after the intermission, is unwatchable. But what would be Best Picture for the CCA, SAG, or Oscars? “Conclave” is still a possibility. “Emilia Perez” is a long shot, but you never know.

Meanwhile, whoever gave Jeremy Strong that hat should be fired. And why did a lot of the women have fake “falls”– hair pieces — attached to their heads like they were in “Valley of the Dolls?”

Roger Friedman
Roger Friedmanhttps://www.showbiz411.com
Roger Friedman began his Showbiz411 column in April 2009 after 10 years with Fox News, where he created the Fox411 column. His movie reviews are carried by Rotten Tomatoes, and he is a member of both the movie and TV branches of the Critics Choice Awards. His articles have appeared in dozens of publications over the years including New York Magazine, where he wrote the Intelligencer column in the mid 90s and covered the OJ Simpson trial, and Fox News (when it wasn't so crazy) where he covered Michael Jackson. He is also the writer and co-producer of "Only the Strong Survive," a selection of the Cannes, Sundance, and Telluride Film festivals, directed by DA Pennebaker and Chris Hegedus.

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